We are 15 months away from qualifying for the 2019
Louisiana Governor’s race. Speculation is that Republican U.S. Senator John
Kennedy will challenge Democratic Governor John Bel Edwards. Pollster John
Couvillon says Kennedy was elected as a Senator in 2016 and Edwards re-election
campaign will likely attack the Republican from St. Tammany Parish about running
for another statewide office.
"That is a concern that he has to address, plus the
question of, ‘does he really want the added scrutiny that goes with being
governor?’ As opposed to, as U.S. Senator, the Capital press corps loves him,”
Another potential candidate is Republican U.S.
Representative Ralph Abraham from Richland Parish. Couvillon says Abraham’s
biggest weakness is that he’s from north Louisiana.
“Fifty-three (or) fifty-five percent of the vote is cast in
Baton Rouge and New Orleans media markets alone. Getting elected governor from
the strength of the Alexandria and Monroe media market, that’s not enough,”
Couvillon says the big challenge for Governor Edwards is
that there are 41,600 fewer Democrats registered to vote now compared to when
he was elected.
“Of that 41,000 figure, there are 54,400 less white democrats,
in other words, there’s been a nine percent attrition in two and a half years,”