Experts now predict a below-average hurricane season
Posted on 7/3/2018 3:55:00 AM.

Colorado State forecasters are downgrading their expectations for this year’s hurricane season, now predicting a below average season for tropical activity.

CSU Research Scientist Phillip Klotzbach says the original prediction was for 14 named storms, now they anticipate ten more storms, four hurricanes and one major hurricane before November 30.

“The tropical Atlantic is running quite a bit colder than normal, and colder water provides less fuel for the hurricane, but it also tends to be associated with a more stable atmosphere,” said Klotzbach.   

But Klotzbach says that doesn’t mean the gulf coast should get complacent. He warns that just because fewer named storms are predicted, doesn’t mean that one mega storm won’t cruise in and cause havoc.

“Nastier hurricanes have made landfall in overall quiet hurricane seasons. Several recent examples of that, 1992 hurricane Andrew, also 1957 with hurricane Audrey.”

The forecaster says families should still prepare, and make their yearly hurricane preparation plans because that one major storm could land anywhere from Mexico all the way up to New England.

“So I think the message is the same every year that hurricane season is here and we need to be prepared for every hurricane season because it obviously just takes that one hurricane to make it an active season for you.”

 
Hurricane Season, Phillip Klotzbach, Colorado State University



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