Not much change in Colorado State University hurricane season forecast
Posted on 8/4/2015 10:20:00 AM.
The Colorado State University hurricane forecast team has released their updated forecast for the 2015 hurricane season and it looks very much the same as their June forecast.  Researchers originally predicted eight named storms with three hurricanes and one major hurricane.  


Lead author, Dr. Phil Klotzbach, says this update actually lowers the number of expected hurricanes this season.
 
"Our forecast is now for a total five more named storms, it's three we already had so it's five additional storms, two hurricanes, and one major category three, four, or five hurricane."

Klotzbach says the primary reason for the below-normal season is because of very strong vertical wind shears because of a strong El Nino.

"El Nino is warmer than normal water in the central and eastern tropical Pacific and what it does is it impacts the shear in the Atlantic by tearing apart the storms."

He says the probability of a major hurricane making landfall along the Gulf Coast is just 12-percent, well below the full-season average of 30-percent.  Klotzbach says although a below-average hurricane season is forecast, that doesn't mean a storm won't impact Louisiana.

"You can have very quiet seasons overall in the Atlantic Basin, but still have significant impacts.  So that's something that certainly people should continued be prepared and have a plan in place in case a storm does threaten the United States." 
hurricane season, forecast, Colorado State University, Phil Klotzbach

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