NOAA ups its projected storm total for this season
Posted on 8/9/2017 12:25:00 PM.
By Jeff Palermo
NOAA has increased its projected total of named storms for this hurricane season. In May, government forecasters predicted 11 to 17 named storms, now they believe we'll see anywhere from 14 to 19 storms. NOAA lead hurricane season forecaster Gerry Bell.


"The atmospheric and oceanic conditions point to a high likely hood for an above-normal season, with the possibility now that the season can be extremely active," Bell said.
 
He says this could be the most active season since 2010. In 2010, there were 19 named storms, 12 hurricanes and five major hurricanes. But only Tropical Storm Bonnie as a remnant low made landfall in Louisiana.
 
Bell says they anticipate an extremely active season, because wind patterns are conducive to storm development and sea surface temperatures are well above normal.
 
"About one-to-two degrees Fahrenheit above average, and there is high confidence that this warmth will persist," Bell said. 
 
There's been six named storms this season.
 
Bell says the chance of an El Nino weather pattern forming has dropped significantly, which is another factor why they raised the storm total. 
 
"An El Nino would have helped suppress the Atlantic Storm development, typically by strengthening the vertical wind shear." 
NOAA, hurricanes, storms, Gerry Bell, Louisiana, forecast




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