A My People Vote poll gives Governor Edwards just over 50% support, while Eddie Rispone is right behind him at 47%.
The margin of error is 3.6%, and political analyst Ed Chervenak says the results show a nearly dead-even race heading into the final two weeks.
“It is tight, the margin between the two candidates is within the margin of error. Both of the two polls do show Governor Edwards ahead, but only slightly,” says Chervenak.
The other poll Chervenak mentioned, by JMC Analytics, puts the race at 48% to 46% in favor of Edwards.
There’s no real gender gap to speak of between the two candidates and Chervenak says there’s next to no partisan drift either.
“Republicans are solidly behind Rispone, Democrats same with Governor Edwards. We do see a racial split as well, blacks are for the Democratic candidate and whites are for the Republican,” says Chervenak.
Only three percent of likely voters surveyed were still undecided. Chervenak says that means the race is going to come down to who can inspire their voters to show up on November 16th.
“The key is going to be turnout. The campaign that has the best ground game and mobilizes the most people to the polls is going to be the one that ends up victorious,” says Chervenak.
The survey polled likely voters, who Chervenak says are more likely to have made up their mind than the average registered voter.
