In Louisiana, violent crime rates have significantly decreased, with rape down over 25-percent, robbery down over 17 percent, and aggravated assault down 12.5-percnet. Property crimes also declined by over 15-percent. According to co-founder of AH Datalytics Jeff Asher, these are some of the lowest violent crime rates seen since the early 1970s, and difficult to say what is causing the drop…
“It’s strongly suggestive of a more national trend than the police department just started doing “x”, or we started this social service, and all of a sudden, we see this huge decline.”
New FBI data shows a three-percent drop in violent crime across the country, marking the third consecutive year of decline since the spike in 2020. Asher says it’s difficult to pinpoint a specific cause for this nationwide decrease…
“I think the fact that we’re seeing it in New Orleans just as we’re seeing it in other places suggests that is more national in scope.”
When looking at causation Asher says, we need to look at 2022-23 for specific factors and that can rain on the parade of officials looking to take credit for violent crime reduction in the state.
“When things go up no one wants to say,” I’m doing the wrong thing” and when it goes down it’s, “Hey, look at everything we’ve done that’s causing it.” When usually it’s a lot more randomness and factors beyond
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