This morning NOAA will issue its yearly August update to the Atlantic Hurricane season and even though it’s been quiet so far, State Climatologist Barry Keim doesn’t expect their update to differ greatly from the forecast in May of 14 to 21 named storms, in which six to 10 would be hurricanes.
“They could perhaps downgrade it just a little bit, given how quiet it’s been but we’re really just getting to the teeth of the season,” said Keim.
Keim believes there’s every expectation that 2022 will still be an above-average hurricane season despite how quiet it’s been so far.
“To date, we’ve only had three tropical storms, they were all short-lived, really didn’t do much damage, and they haven’t really gotten much media attention, but keep in mind that’s pretty average for this point in the year,” said Keim.
Above average sea temperatures coupled with a La Nina, tend to create a busy hurricane season. Keim said both are in place and it’s too early to let our guard down just yet. He said traditionally the busiest part of the season runs from mid-August until the first week of October.
“We may be a little behind from where we’re expecting to be. We’re basically on par but I still think that we’re going to have a very busy core piece of the season,” said Keim.
NOAA will give their update at 10 AM.
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