A big night last night for former Vice President Joe Biden makes it likely the Democratic primary will remain competitive by the time Louisianans head to the polls April 4th.
JMC Analytics publisher John Couvillon says Louisianans will likely be picking between Biden, Senator Bernie Sanders, and Senator Elizabeth Warren in April, despite Biden’s big night.
“Bernie Sanders, of course, has some primary victories to his credit and there is little rationale for him to drop out, and in Elizabeth Warren’s case, I think she is just stubborn. She has not demonstrated any strength in any primary or caucus state,” says Couvillon.
Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, who had a sizeable presence in Louisiana, dropped out and endorsed Biden this morning.
Couvillion says Biden is the new frontrunner, followed closely by Sanders, but the former VP has the edge in Louisiana…
“Biden has consistently done well with southern whites who have no appetite for a socialist candidate, and the Democratic Party in Louisiana is 60% black now,” says Couvillon.
This primary cycle has seen Democratic primary turnout meet and occasionally exceed 21st-century records. Couvillon expects that trend to hold in Louisiana.
“I do think there is going to be a certain level of enthusiasm because in addition to the fact that you have the presidential contest, there will also be some local races that will be on the ballot also with the President,” says Couvillon.
Republicans will also be voting in their primary April 4th.
